Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
Morgan Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Campobello
Tract 45083022407 · Spartanburg County, SC · pop 2,897 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
How risky is the Morgan Forest area of Campobello for landlords? Census tract 45083022407 scores 6.3/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 82nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,033 a month while the average household earns $60,625 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 16% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,140
Renter share16.0%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate21.8%
Median income$60,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Campobello and the region
Centroid at 35.1245, -82.0673 · click any tract to drill in
Why Morgan Forest scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Campobello
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
21.8% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,033 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Campobello
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Campobello
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Campobello
7.1
How Morgan Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.2%Food insecurity
- 9.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 10.8%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 34.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Morgan Forest
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Campobello, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Spartanburg County average of 5.5 and above the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 45083022407
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45083022407?
Census tract 45083022407 in the Morgan Forest neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45083022407?
Median gross rent is $1,033/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45083022407?
21.8% of residents in tract 45083022407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,897.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45083022407?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 71th, minority 27th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 45083022407 considered part of Morgan Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45083022407 fall within Morgan Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 45083022407 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 45083022407 compare to Campobello overall?
Tract 45083022407 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Campobello at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Campobello; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Campobello
Top eight tracts in Campobello ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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