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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally

Melrose/Waverly Nashville TN Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 47037017200 · Davidson County, TN · pop 1,501 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 47037017200 covers part of the Melrose/Waverly Nashville TN area of Nashville, TN, and scores 3.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,501. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 34% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units924
Renter share54.2%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$77,341

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Melrose/Waverly Nashville TN
Very High
Within parent city
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#107 of 166 tracts In Nashville
Low
Within county
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#111 of 174 tracts In Davidson County
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,018 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Nashville and the region

Centroid at 36.1216, -86.7595 · click any tract to drill in

Why Melrose/Waverly Nashville TN scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,602 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1

How Melrose/Waverly Nashville TN compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Melrose/Waverly Nashville TN risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.3This tracttract 0172003.8Nashvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 147Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.93×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Melrose/Waverly Nashville TN. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Melrose/Waverly Nashville TN

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.7/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.7/10.

Against Davidson County at 46.0%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

It sits 0.6 points below the Davidson County average of 3.9. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Nashville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 27th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.1/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,602, close to the Nashville average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $77,341.

54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 47037017200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037017200?

Census tract 47037017200 in the Melrose/Waverly Nashville TN neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47037017200?

Median gross rent is $1,602/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47037017200?

6.9% of residents in tract 47037017200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,501.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47037017200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 12th, minority 45th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 47037017200 considered part of Melrose/Waverly Nashville TN?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037017200 fall within Melrose/Waverly Nashville TN (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47037017200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.93× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47037017200 compare to Nashville overall?

Tract 47037017200 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Nashville at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 47037017200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 73% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Nashville

Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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