Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

Melrose/Waverly Nashville TN Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 47037017100 · Davidson County, TN · pop 3,802 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

For landlords sizing up the Melrose/Waverly Nashville TN area of Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), census tract 47037017100 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. On the national scale it ranks #65,524 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,820 monthly, set against $89,482 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 63% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

3.1

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 35% Owners 38%

Tract context

Occupied units2,285

Renter share62.7%

SVI overall0.05

Poverty rate9.5%

Median income$89,482

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Nashville and the region

Centroid at 36.1213, -86.7806 · click any tract to drill in

Why Melrose/Waverly Nashville TN scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Nashville

6.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.6

State political climate

Tennessee legislature & governorship

1.9

Economic stress

9.5% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$1,820 rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Nashville

1.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Nashville

3.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Nashville

3.1

How Melrose/Waverly Nashville TN compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

28%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
35%Racial/ethnic minority
21%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
100%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

100Total filings 2020-21
1.3Avg monthly (observed)
1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
0.94×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Melrose/Waverly Nashville TN. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Melrose/Waverly Nashville TN

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Nashville eviction risk-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Davidson County average of 4.5 and in line with the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.94x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 47037017100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037017100?

Census tract 47037017100 in the Melrose/Waverly Nashville TN neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 47037017100?

Median gross rent is $1,820/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 47037017100?

9.5% of residents in tract 47037017100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,802.

How socially vulnerable is tract 47037017100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 1th, minority 35th, housing 21th.

Is tract 47037017100 considered part of Melrose/Waverly Nashville TN?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037017100 fall within Melrose/Waverly Nashville TN (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

Did eviction filings in tract 47037017100 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.94× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.

How does tract 47037017100 compare to Nashville overall?

Tract 47037017100 scores 3.1/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 47037017100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Nashville

Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org