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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Germantown Nashville, TN Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 47037013800 · Davidson County, TN · pop 1,852 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 47037013800 covers part of the Germantown Nashville, TN area of Nashville, TN, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,852 residents. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 26% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units711
Renter share56.4%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate35.0%
Median income$51,335

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Germantown Nashville, TN
Very High
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 166 tracts In Nashville
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 174 tracts In Davidson County
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#178 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Nashville and the region

Centroid at 36.1757, -86.8148 · click any tract to drill in

Why Germantown Nashville, TN scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
35.0% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$1,119 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1

How Germantown Nashville, TN compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Germantown Nashville, TN risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0138003.8Nashvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 181Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.72×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Germantown Nashville, TN. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Germantown Nashville, TN

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.1/10. The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, economic stress reads 8.8/10.

At $1,119 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of Nashville commands. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.7/10. Disability prevalence runs 45.4% against 31.5% nationally.

Against Davidson County at 46.0%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 1.3 points above the Davidson County average of 3.9.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Nashville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $51,335. 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 47037013800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037013800?

Census tract 47037013800 in the Germantown Nashville, TN neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47037013800?

Median gross rent is $1,119/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47037013800?

35.0% of residents in tract 47037013800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,852.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47037013800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 78th, minority 88th, housing 68th.
Q5

Is tract 47037013800 considered part of Germantown Nashville, TN?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037013800 fall within Germantown Nashville, TN (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47037013800 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47037013800 compare to Nashville overall?

Tract 47037013800 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 47037013800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 88% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Nashville

Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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