Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally
Mill Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Nashville
Tract 47037019120 · Davidson County, TN · pop 4,049 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 47037019120, home to 4,049 residents in Mill Run in Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), scores 4.7/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 28% of US census tracts.
60% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,828 a month against an average household income of $82,672 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,092
Renter share51.5%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$82,672
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Nashville and the region
Centroid at 36.0124, -86.6887 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mill Run scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,828 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1
How Mill Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 147Total filings 2020-21
- 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.71×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mill Run
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Nashville eviction risk-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Davidson County average of 4.5 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.71x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 47037019120
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037019120?
Census tract 47037019120 in the Mill Run neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47037019120?
Median gross rent is $1,828/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47037019120?
11.2% of residents in tract 47037019120 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,049.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47037019120?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 7th, minority 47th, housing 7th.
Q5
Is tract 47037019120 considered part of Mill Run?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037019120 fall within Mill Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 47037019120 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 47037019120 compare to Nashville overall?
Tract 47037019120 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Nashville
Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TN
47037010403
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Downtown Nashville
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47037015900
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
New Heights District
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Germantown Nashville, TN
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47037012801
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
New Heights District
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Madison
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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