East Nashville Eviction Risk: Moderate

The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. At $1,312 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Nashville commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 4.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 42% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

It tracks the Davidson County average of 3.9 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $84,453. 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.