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Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Nashville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 47037016600 · Davidson County, TN · pop 3,464

Census tract 47037016600 covers part of Nashville, TN, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,464. 82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 41% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units2,346
Renter share81.7%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate23.2%
Median income$57,903

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 166 tracts In Nashville
High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 174 tracts In Davidson County
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#178 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
High
National
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#29,336 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Nashville and the region

Centroid at 36.1460, -86.8157 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nashville scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
23.2% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,541 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1

How Nashville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Nashville risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0166003.8Nashvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 172Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 6.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.38×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nashville

Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.7/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Davidson County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. roughly one in two of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $1,541, close to the Nashville average.

Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $57,903.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 47037016600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037016600?

Census tract 47037016600 in Nashville scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47037016600?

Median gross rent is $1,541/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47037016600?

23.2% of residents in tract 47037016600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,464.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47037016600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 0th, minority 52th, housing 90th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 47037016600 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.38× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 47037016600 compare to Nashville overall?

Tract 47037016600 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 47037016600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Nashville

Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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