Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Frayser Eviction Risk: Moderate , Memphis

Tract 47157010120 · Shelby County, TN · pop 4,963 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 47157010120 in the Frayser area of Memphis, TN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,963 residents. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 37% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,556
Renter share62.9%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate60.1%
Median income$27,099

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Frayser
Elevated
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 197 tracts In Memphis
High
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#47 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Memphis and the region

Centroid at 35.2007, -90.0152 · click any tract to drill in

Why Frayser scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
60.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,001 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5

How Frayser compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Frayser risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0101204.0Memphisparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 971Total filings 2020-21
  • 12.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 13.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.94×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Frayser. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Frayser

The poverty rate is 60%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Annualized rent equals 44% of average household income of $27,099, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Disability prevalence runs 51.9% against 31.5% nationally. Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10. Cost burden runs 41% here against 48.3% across Shelby County.

Against the Shelby County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. At $1,001 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Memphis commands.

Adults with no health insurance runs 19.6% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.2/10. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157010120

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157010120?

Census tract 47157010120 in the Frayser neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157010120?

Median gross rent is $1,001/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157010120?

60.1% of residents in tract 47157010120 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,963.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157010120?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 74th, minority 94th, housing 68th.
Q5

Is tract 47157010120 considered part of Frayser?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157010120 fall within Frayser (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47157010120 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.94× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47157010120 compare to Memphis overall?

Tract 47157010120 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Memphis

Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related