Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally
Frayser Eviction Risk: Elevated , Memphis
Tract 47157010120 · Shelby County, TN · pop 4,963 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Eviction risk in the Frayser neighborhood of Memphis centers on tract 47157010120, which scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,963 residents. It lands near the 48th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 41% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,001 a month against an average household income of $27,099 a year, roughly 44% of income at the averages. About 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,556
Renter share62.9%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate60.1%
Median income$27,099
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Memphis and the region
Centroid at 35.2007, -90.0152 · click any tract to drill in
Why Frayser scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
60.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,001 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5
How Frayser compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 971Total filings 2020-21
- 12.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 13.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.94×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Frayser. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Frayser
What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Memphis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Shelby County average of 4.9 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.94x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 47157010120
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157010120?
Census tract 47157010120 in the Frayser neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47157010120?
Median gross rent is $1,001/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47157010120?
60.1% of residents in tract 47157010120 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,963.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47157010120?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 74th, minority 94th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 47157010120 considered part of Frayser?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157010120 fall within Frayser (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 47157010120 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.94× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 47157010120 compare to Memphis overall?
Tract 47157010120 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Memphis
Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TN
47157022700
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Parkway Village
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Whitehaven
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Crosstown
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Orange Mound
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Binghampton
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47157022310
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Frayser
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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