Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Frayser Eviction Risk: Moderate , Memphis
Tract 47157010121 · Shelby County, TN · pop 2,111 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 47157010121 sits in the Frayser area of Memphis eviction risk, TN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 2,111. The severe-burden share is 52%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units818
Renter share52.3%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate41.3%
Median income$27,424
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Memphis and the region
Centroid at 35.2214, -90.0062 · click any tract to drill in
Why Frayser scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
41.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,326 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5
How Frayser compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 773Total filings 2020-21
- 10.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Frayser. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Frayser
Set annual rent against average income of $27,424 and the ratio lands at 58%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 48.3% across Shelby County.
The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 41%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Disability prevalence runs 49.3% against 31.5% nationally. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.9/10.
Against the Shelby County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.1% against 11.3% nationally.
Average gross rent is $1,326, 12% above the Memphis average. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.8/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 47157010121
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157010121?
Census tract 47157010121 in the Frayser neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47157010121?
Median gross rent is $1,326/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47157010121?
41.3% of residents in tract 47157010121 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,111.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47157010121?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 72th, minority 92th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 47157010121 considered part of Frayser?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157010121 fall within Frayser (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 47157010121 compare to Memphis overall?
Tract 47157010121 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Memphis
Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TN
47157008120
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Parkway Village
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Egypt
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
47157022130
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
North Memphis
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
47157008200
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Crosstown
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
47157009901
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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