Frayser Eviction Risk: Moderate , Memphis

The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Disability prevalence runs 50.2% against 31.5% nationally. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $36,795 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

It sits 1.1 points above the Shelby County average of 4.3. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 3.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.7/10. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,102, close to the Memphis average. 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.