Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally
Cotton Row Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Memphis
Tract 47157011300 · Shelby County, TN · pop 1,182 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 47157011300 (the Cotton Row Historic District area of Memphis, Tennessee) comes in at 5.2/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 45% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,055 monthly, set against $37,676 in average yearly household income, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 80% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 47%
Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units705
Renter share79.9%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate33.9%
Median income$37,676
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Memphis and the region
Centroid at 35.1519, -90.0426 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cotton Row Historic District scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
33.9% poverty · this tract
8.5
Supply constraint
$1,055 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5
How Cotton Row Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 93%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 191Total filings 2020-21
- 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.64×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cotton Row Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cotton Row Historic District
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 8.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Memphis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Shelby County average of 4.9 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 93% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.64x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 47157011300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157011300?
Census tract 47157011300 in the Cotton Row Historic District neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47157011300?
Median gross rent is $1,055/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47157011300?
33.9% of residents in tract 47157011300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,182.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47157011300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 25th, minority 89th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 47157011300 considered part of Cotton Row Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157011300 fall within Cotton Row Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 47157011300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.64× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 47157011300 compare to Memphis overall?
Tract 47157011300 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 47157011300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 93% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Memphis
Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TN
Frayser
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47157022700
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Crosstown
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Orange Mound
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Binghampton
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47157022310
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Frayser
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47157010500
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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