Memphis Eviction Risk: Moderate

Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 42%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $41,385, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Disability prevalence runs 46.1% against 31.5% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.9/10. Against the Shelby County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

Cost burden runs 44% here against 48.3% across Shelby County. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.9% against 11.3% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.6/10.

Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.