Villages at Shelby Station Eviction Risk: Lower , Collierville

72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.9/10.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.9/10. It sits 1.3 points below the Shelby County average of 4.3.

The voucher gap is 17.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 2.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $133,318, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.