Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
New Deal Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 47165020403 · Sumner County, TN · pop 2,107 · 12% of tract blocks fall in New Deal
Census tract 47165020403 covers part of New Deal, TN, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,107. The severe-burden share is 68%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units755
Renter share13.6%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate12.6%
Median income$110,268
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Deal and the region
Centroid at 36.4751, -86.5628 · click any tract to drill in
Why New Deal scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Deal
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
12.6% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$838 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Deal
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Deal
2.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Deal
1.9
How New Deal compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 5%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in New Deal
Against Sumner County at 40.0%, roughly three in four of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. Against the Sumner County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.2/10.
Against average income of $110,268, annual rent is just 9%. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $838, close to the New Deal average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 47165020403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47165020403?
Census tract 47165020403 in New Deal scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47165020403?
Median gross rent is $838/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47165020403?
12.6% of residents in tract 47165020403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,107.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47165020403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 15th, minority 5th, housing 57th.
Q5
How does tract 47165020403 compare to New Deal overall?
Tract 47165020403 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of New Deal at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Deal; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Deal
Top eight tracts in New Deal ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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