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Census Tract · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

New Deal Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 47165020403 · Sumner County, TN · pop 2,107 · 12% of tract blocks fall in New Deal

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 47165020403 (New Deal, Tennessee) comes in at $1/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 11% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

74% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 68% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $838 a month against an average household income of $110,268 a year, roughly 9% of income at the averages. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 4% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units755
Renter share13.6%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate12.6%
Median income$110,268

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In New Deal
Very High
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 43 tracts In Sumner County
Moderate
Within state
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#1,341 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Low
National
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#61,757 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Deal and the region

Centroid at 36.4751, -86.5628 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Deal scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Deal
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
12.6% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$838 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Deal
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Deal
2.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Deal
1.9

How New Deal compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
New Deal risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.82.8This tracttract 020403New Deal: 1.91.9New Dealparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Deal

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 3.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Deal, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sumner County average of 4.3 and in line with the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 47165020403

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47165020403?

Census tract 47165020403 in New Deal scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47165020403?

Median gross rent is $838/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47165020403?

12.6% of residents in tract 47165020403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,107.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47165020403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 15th, minority 5th, housing 57th.
Q5

How does tract 47165020403 compare to New Deal overall?

Tract 47165020403 scores 2.8/10, higher than the parent city of New Deal at 1.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Deal; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New Deal

Top eight tracts in New Deal ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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