New Deal Eviction Risk: Lower

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.3/10.

Against the Sumner County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $86,297, annual rent is just 11%. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $797, close to the New Deal average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.