Tanglewood Eviction Risk: Lower , Johnson City

The voucher gap is 38.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.9/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Against Washington County at 40.0%, 46% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Washington County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $70,804. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.