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Johnson City, Tennessee eviction risk overview
Ranked #1,572 of 1,865 nationally

Johnson City, TN Eviction Risk: VERY LOW

Washington County · Population 72,222

In 2026
Risk score
2.3
VERY LOW

64th percentile, Tennessee.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.9 Average2.7 Now2.3
3.5 1.9 1976 · score 3.4 1977 · score 3.4 1978 · score 3.4 1979 · score 3.4 1980 · score 3.5 1981 · score 3.5 1982 · score 3.5 1983 · score 3.4 1984 · score 3.2 1985 · score 3.1 1986 · score 3.0 1987 · score 2.9 1988 · score 2.8 1989 · score 2.3 1990 · score 2.3 1991 · score 2.3 1992 · score 2.9 1993 · score 2.9 1994 · score 2.9 1995 · score 2.9 1996 · score 2.9 1997 · score 2.9 1998 · score 2.9 1999 · score 2.9 2000 · score 2.8 2001 · score 2.8 2002 · score 2.8 2003 · score 2.7 2004 · score 2.6 2005 · score 2.6 2006 · score 2.5 2007 · score 2.4 2008 · score 2.5 2009 · score 2.6 2010 · score 2.6 2011 · score 2.5 2012 · score 2.3 2013 · score 2.3 2014 · score 2.2 2015 · score 2.1 2016 · score 2.0 2017 · score 1.9 2018 · score 2.0 2019 · score 2.0 2020 · score 3.0 2021 · score 3.2 2022 · score 2.3 2023 · score 2.3 2024 · score 2.4 2025 · score 2.3 2026 · score 2.3

Key metrics

Estimated values: The U.S. Census suppresses field-level data for small places. Estimated from constituent census tracts, pop-weighted from real underlying ACS data.
Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 2.5 Regional 2.0 State 2.5 Economic 5.0 Supply 3.5 Rent Control 1.0 Eviction 2.0 Tenant 2.0 Housing 2.5 2.3 VERY LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +39.5% (2024)
    2.5
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    2.0
  3. State political climate
    Tennessee legislature & governorship
    2.5
  4. Economic stress
    16.7% poverty · 4.2% unemp.
    5.0
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,023 average · 48.7% renters
    3.5
  6. Rent Control risk
    29.8% of income on rent
    1.0
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    31 days filing → judgment
    2.0
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    48.7% renters
    2.0
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    2.5
Geographic context

Risk heat across Johnson City and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Johnson City compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Washington County
Very High
#1 of 9 cities
Rank in county, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9 cities in Washington County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Tennessee
Elevated
#204 of 501 cities
Rank in state, 59th percentileLowHigh
#204 of 501 cities in Tennessee for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Johnson City risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Johnson City: 2.32.3Johnson CityThis cityCounty: 2.22.2Countyavg in countyState: 2.42.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 2.3
    / 10 · VERY LOW
    The verdict

    A Very low-tier market.

    Composite 2.3/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend-1.1 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 31d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,023/mo. A contested eviction takes 31 days and costs $1,179–$2,734 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 48.7%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 72,222 residents, 48.7% rent. 30% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 16.7% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 2.3
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Light-statute interior market.

    Local & regional political climate score 2.5 and 2 (GOP margin +39.5% (2024)). State climate at 2.5, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 2.5
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 2.5/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 2, housing court bias 2.5, rent-control risk 1. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.0 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 5
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 5. Supply constraint: 3.5. The numbers behind those: 16.7% poverty, 4.2% unemployment, 30% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Johnson City sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Kingsport, TN · 37d · ~$2.1k all-in ($57/day) · score 2.1 Kingsport Nashville, TN · 37d · ~$2.1k all-in ($57/day) · score 2.5 Nashville Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Knoxville, TN · 35d · ~$2.0k all-in ($57/day) · score 2.3 Knoxville Chattanooga, TN · 31d · ~$2.1k all-in ($67/day) · score 2.5 Chattanooga Clarksville, TN · 35d · ~$2.1k all-in ($59/day) · score 2.4 Clarksville Murfreesboro, TN · 35d · ~$2.2k all-in ($63/day) · score 2.4 Murfreesboro Franklin, TN · 35d · ~$2.1k all-in ($61/day) · score 1.9 Franklin Jackson, TN · 31d · ~$2.2k all-in ($71/day) · score 2.8 Jackson Hendersonville, TN · 36d · ~$2.0k all-in ($54/day) · score 2.2 Hendersonville Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Johnson City
Johnson City · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($63/day) · score 2.3 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Johnson City, TN

Landlording in Johnson City, Tennessee, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 2.3/10 (VERY LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Johnson City is a city of 72,222 residents where 48.7% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 29.8% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,023/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Johnson City eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 2/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Johnson City closes 31 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Johnson City's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 2.5/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Johnson City runs $1,179 to $2,734 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 31 days of typical timeline and $1,023/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 2/10 in Johnson City, and the city has limited rent control exposure (1/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Tennessee, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Johnson City: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a VERY LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Tennessee's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $2,734 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Johnson City

Trap · 2.1/10
For landlords, the 3.1/10 score is most actionable when combined with Washington County's specific court behavior. Housing-court bias sub-score: 2.1/10. Standard documentation and prompt action typically resolve cases quickly.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the best way to handle a tenant who's consistently late with rent but always pays eventually?

Don't let "eventually" become your standard. In Johnson City, you have clear guidelines. Issue the 14-day pay-or-quit notice every single time rent is late beyond the grace period. Consistency is key. If you let it slide, you're setting a precedent that makes enforcement harder later. You can also consider a lease amendment to adjust the due date if there's a legitimate reason, but make sure it's in writing.

Q2

Can I charge a late fee for rent in Johnson City?

Yes, you can charge a late fee, but it must be "reasonable." Tennessee law doesn't specify an exact cap, but generally, 5-10% of the monthly rent is considered reasonable. Clearly state the late fee amount and when it applies in your lease agreement. Don't try to make late fees a profit center; they're meant to encourage timely payment, not penalize excessively.

Q3

Do I need a lawyer for every eviction in Tennessee?

Not always, especially for straightforward non-payment cases where the tenant doesn't contest. However, if the tenant hires an attorney, files counterclaims, or you're dealing with complex lease violations, hiring your own attorney is highly recommended. An attorney ensures proper legal procedure, saves you time, and reduces the risk of costly errors. Given the Tennessee eviction risk overview, it's generally a low-risk state, but legal expertise can still be invaluable.

Q4

What if a tenant abandons the property?

Tennessee law has specific rules for determining abandonment. Generally, if a tenant has been absent for a certain period (usually 30 days without notice or payment, or 7 days after rent is due and utilities are disconnected), and there's no evidence of intent to return, you can assume abandonment. You'll need to follow state procedures for inventorying and storing their personal property, usually for 30 days, before you can dispose of it. Document everything with photos and witnesses.

Q5

Are there any rent control laws in Johnson City?

No, Tennessee state law explicitly prohibits rent control. This means you have the flexibility to set market rates for your properties. This is reflected in the very low Tennessee rent control rules sub-score of 1. You can increase rent at lease renewal with proper notice, typically 30 days for month-to-month, or at the end of a fixed-term lease.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 2.3/10 places Johnson City in the 64th percentile of Tennessee cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.