Melrose Eviction Risk: Moderate , Johnson City

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.7/10. The poverty rate is 39%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against Washington County at 40.0%, about half of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Disability prevalence runs 47.1% against 31.5% nationally. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

It sits 1.1 points above the Washington County average of 3.7. Average gross rent is $902, 12% below the Johnson City average.

On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.9/10.

Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $35,516.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.