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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Bavarian Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Antonio

Tract 48029181823 · Bexar, TX · pop 3,065 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 48029181823, home to 3,065 residents in Bavarian Forest in San Antonio, scores $1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 37% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,224 a month against an average household income of $83,654 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 30% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,148
Renter share49.9%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate17.1%
Median income$83,654

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Bavarian Forest
Very High
Within parent city
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#189 of 321 tracts In San Antonio
Moderate
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#194 of 375 tracts In Bexar
Moderate
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#2,781 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Antonio and the region

Centroid at 29.5769, -98.6376 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bavarian Forest scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Antonio
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.1% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,224 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Antonio
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Antonio
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Antonio
3.0

How Bavarian Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bavarian Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 181823San Antonio: 2.82.8San Antonioparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 29Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 3.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.0%Peak (2001)
  • 3Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2008
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 480291818232000: 1 filings (1.55/100 renter HHs)2001: 9 filings (13.97/100 renter HHs)2002: 3 filings (4.66/100 renter HHs)2003: 3 filings (4.66/100 renter HHs)2004: 2 filings (3.11/100 renter HHs)2005: 3 filings (1.92/100 renter HHs)2006: 1 filings (0.64/100 renter HHs)2007: 4 filings (2.56/100 renter HHs)2008: 3 filings (1.92/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bavarian Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bavarian Forest

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 4.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Bexar County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 29 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 3.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.0% of renter households in 2001.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48029181823

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48029181823?

Census tract 48029181823 in the Bavarian Forest neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48029181823?

Median gross rent is $1,224/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48029181823?

17.1% of residents in tract 48029181823 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,065.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48029181823?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 6th, minority 71th, housing 28th.
Q5

Is tract 48029181823 considered part of Bavarian Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48029181823 fall within Bavarian Forest (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48029181823?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 29 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 48029181823 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.89% of renter households, peaking at 14.0% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48029181823 compare to San Antonio overall?

Tract 48029181823 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of San Antonio at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Antonio

Top eight tracts in San Antonio ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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