Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Bavarian Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , San Antonio
Tract 48029181823 · Bexar, TX · pop 3,065 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 3.9/10, tract 48029181823 in the Bavarian Forest area of San Antonio, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,065. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,148
Renter share49.9%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate17.1%
Median income$83,654
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Antonio and the region
Centroid at 29.5769, -98.6376 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bavarian Forest scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Antonio
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.1% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,224 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Antonio
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Antonio
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Antonio
3.0
How Bavarian Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 29Total filings over 9 yrs
- 3.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.0%Peak (2001)
- 3Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bavarian Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bavarian Forest
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Cost burden runs 40% here against 48.2% across Bexar County. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.9/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 29 filings here across 9 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2001, when 14.0% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 3.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $83,654, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Bexar County average of 4.1 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48029181823
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48029181823?
Census tract 48029181823 in the Bavarian Forest neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48029181823?
Median gross rent is $1,224/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48029181823?
17.1% of residents in tract 48029181823 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,065.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48029181823?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 6th, minority 71th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 48029181823 considered part of Bavarian Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48029181823 fall within Bavarian Forest (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48029181823?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 29 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 48029181823 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.89% of renter households, peaking at 14.0% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 48029181823 compare to San Antonio overall?
Tract 48029181823 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Antonio at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Antonio
Top eight tracts in San Antonio ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Five Points
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Sun Park Lane
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48029160902
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Monticello Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Cattleman's Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
South Texas Medical Center
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Keystone Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48029171501
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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