Neighborhood · San Antonio, TX

Bavarian Forest Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 11,816 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 2.9–4.3

Bavarian Forest is a hispanic-white neighborhood in San Antonio with 3 census tracts and a population of 11,816 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.6/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 43% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 15% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,600/month sits 21% higher than the San Antonio citywide average ($1,324).

Risk score

3.6

Lower

3 tracts · population-weighted

Bavarian Forest vs San Antonio How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

43.3% +35%

San Antonio: 32.0%

Average gross rent

$1,600 +21%

San Antonio: $1,324

Average HH income

$91,080 +45%

San Antonio: $62,917

Poverty rate

10.1% -41%

San Antonio: 17.1%

Renter share

39.1% -18%

San Antonio: 47.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bavarian Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 2.9–4.3

Why Bavarian Forest scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts

5.8

Rent control risk

43% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

39% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Economic stress

10.1% below poverty line · Range 1.1–4.3 across tracts

2.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–7.7 across tracts

5.7

Risk score comparison

Bavarian Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Bavarian Forest?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.4 points from 2.9 to 4.3. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

4.3 4.1 2.9

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Bavarian Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
48029181823	4.3	3,065	40%	$1,224
48029181824	4.1	3,561	45%	$1,904
48029182001	2.9	5,190	44%	$1,614

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 23

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 38%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 10%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 18%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bavarian Forest

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

146Total filings (sum)
4.64%Avg annual filing rate
15.0%Peak year (2008)
3.46%Latest filed (2008)

Frequently asked

About Bavarian Forest

What is the eviction-risk score for Bavarian Forest?

Bavarian Forest scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Bavarian Forest compare to San Antonio overall?

Bavarian Forest scores 0.8 points higher than San Antonio overall (2.8/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,600 vs $1,324.

What is the average rent in Bavarian Forest?

Average gross rent in Bavarian Forest is $1,600/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Bavarian Forest residents are renters?

39% of Bavarian Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in San Antonio). The neighborhood has 11,816 residents.

Is Bavarian Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Bavarian Forest sits in the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Bavarian Forest have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bavarian Forest is census tract 48029181823 (score 4.3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.9 to 4.3, a spread of 1.4 points.

How safe is Bavarian Forest for landlords?

Bavarian Forest carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Antonio as a whole (2.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Bavarian Forest?

Bavarian Forest has 11,940 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (51.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (35.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (7.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bavarian Forest

3.3 Rosemont Heights 4 tracts · pop 24,105 4.1 Laurel Bend 2 tracts · pop 8,974 5.3 South Texas Medical Center 7 tracts · pop 43,504 3.8 Great Northwest 6 tracts · pop 36,176 3.9 Elm Creek 3 tracts · pop 12,424 3.6 Bridgewood Ranch 2 tracts · pop 15,673

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Antonio

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bavarian Forest.

3.6 Monte Vista 3 tracts · pop 10,182 3.6 Spring Vistas 1 tracts · pop 9,342 3.6 Walker Ranch 1 tracts · pop 4,917 3.7 Bridgewood Ranch 2 tracts · pop 15,673 3.5 Fairways at Legacy Trails 4 tracts · pop 28,076 3.7 Tobin Hill 1 tracts · pop 3,926

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