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Neighborhood · San Antonio, TX

Bavarian Forest Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 11,816 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 3–3.9

Bavarian Forest spans 3 census tracts of San Antonio, TX, population 11,816. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.4/10, Lower tier. Cost burden runs 43% against 32.0% citywide, putting Bavarian Forest 11.3% over its own city.

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. At $1,600 a month, rents sit 21% over what the rest of San Antonio commands. 15% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Running cool is economic stress, at 2.5/10. Filings are well documented here: 146 across 3 observed tracts.

Filing activity peaked in 2008 at 15.0% of renter households. On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 3/10.

That places it #50 of 88 neighborhoods in San Antonio. Judgments average 3.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Westbury Place and Oak Park score within a fraction of it.

Its 3 tracts score within 0.9 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $91,080.

With little internal variation, 3.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Bavarian Forest vs San Antonio How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.3% +35%
San Antonio: 32.0%
Average gross rent
$1,600 +21%
San Antonio: $1,324
Average HH income
$91,080 +45%
San Antonio: $62,917
Poverty rate
10.1% -41%
San Antonio: 17.1%
Renter share
39.1% -18%
San Antonio: 47.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bavarian Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–3.9

Why Bavarian Forest scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
39% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
10.1% below poverty line · Range 1.1–4.3 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–7.7 across tracts
5.7
Risk score comparison

Bavarian Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bavarian Forest score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.4Bavarian ForestNeighborhood3.8Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Bavarian Forest?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.9 points from 3 to 3.9. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Bavarian Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48029181823 3.9 3,065 40% $1,224
48029181824 3.6 3,561 45% $1,904
48029182001 3 5,190 44% $1,614
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 23

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 38%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 10%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 18%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bavarian Forest

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 146Total filings (sum)
  • 4.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.0%Peak year (2008)
  • 3.46%Latest filed (2008)
Frequently asked

About Bavarian Forest

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bavarian Forest?

Bavarian Forest scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bavarian Forest compare to San Antonio overall?

Bavarian Forest scores 0.4 points lower than San Antonio overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,600 vs $1,324.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bavarian Forest?

Average gross rent in Bavarian Forest is $1,600/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bavarian Forest residents are renters?

39% of Bavarian Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in San Antonio). The neighborhood has 11,816 residents.
Q5

Is Bavarian Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Bavarian Forest sits in the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Bavarian Forest have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bavarian Forest is census tract 48029181823 (score 3.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.9, a spread of 0.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Bavarian Forest for landlords?

Bavarian Forest carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Antonio as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Bavarian Forest?

Bavarian Forest has 11,940 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (51.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (35.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (7.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bavarian Forest

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Antonio

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bavarian Forest.

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