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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Bavarian Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , San Antonio

Tract 48029181824 · Bexar, TX · pop 3,561 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

48029181824 is a census tract in the Bavarian Forest area of San Antonio, TX. It scores 3.6/10 for landlords. Average gross rent is $1,904, 44% above the San Antonio average.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 22% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,328
Renter share39.5%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$74,667

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Bavarian Forest
Moderate
Within parent city
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#206 of 321 tracts In San Antonio
Low
Within county
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#219 of 375 tracts In Bexar
Moderate
Within state
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#3,403 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Antonio and the region

Centroid at 29.5649, -98.6392 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bavarian Forest scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Antonio
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,904 rent vs county FMR
7.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Antonio
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Antonio
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Antonio
3.0

How Bavarian Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bavarian Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.6This tracttract 1818243.8San Antonioparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 107Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 4.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.9%Peak (2008)
  • 23Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2008
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48029181824
Filings climbed 475% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bavarian Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bavarian Forest

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 26.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.9/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 107 filings here across 9 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2008, when 5.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.3% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 33rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 45% of renters. It tracks the Bexar County average of 4.1 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48029181824

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48029181824?

Census tract 48029181824 in the Bavarian Forest neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48029181824?

Median gross rent is $1,904/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48029181824?

12.2% of residents in tract 48029181824 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,561.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48029181824?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 8th, minority 86th, housing 26th.
Q5

Is tract 48029181824 considered part of Bavarian Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48029181824 fall within Bavarian Forest (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48029181824?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 107 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 48029181824 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.29% of renter households, peaking at 5.9% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48029181824 compare to San Antonio overall?

Tract 48029181824 scores 3.6/10, right in line with the parent city of San Antonio at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Antonio

Top eight tracts in San Antonio ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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