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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Bavarian Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Antonio

Tract 48029181824 · Bexar, TX · pop 3,561 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

How risky is the Bavarian Forest neighborhood of San Antonio for landlords? Census tract 48029181824 scores 5.2/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 45% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,904 a month while the average household earns $74,667 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 22% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,328
Renter share39.5%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$74,667

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Bavarian Forest
Moderate
Within parent city
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#209 of 321 tracts In San Antonio
Low
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#212 of 375 tracts In Bexar
Moderate
Within state
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#3,094 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Antonio and the region

Centroid at 29.5649, -98.6392 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bavarian Forest scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Antonio
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,904 rent vs county FMR
7.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Antonio
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Antonio
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Antonio
3.0

How Bavarian Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bavarian Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 181824San Antonio: 2.82.8San Antonioparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 107Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 4.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.9%Peak (2008)
  • 23Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2008
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 480291818242000: 4 filings (2.50/100 renter HHs)2001: 5 filings (3.13/100 renter HHs)2002: 6 filings (3.75/100 renter HHs)2003: 5 filings (3.13/100 renter HHs)2004: 10 filings (6.25/100 renter HHs)2005: 22 filings (5.68/100 renter HHs)2006: 16 filings (4.13/100 renter HHs)2007: 16 filings (4.13/100 renter HHs)2008: 23 filings (5.94/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 475% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bavarian Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bavarian Forest

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Bexar County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 107 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 4.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.9% of renter households in 2008.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48029181824

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48029181824?

Census tract 48029181824 in the Bavarian Forest neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48029181824?

Median gross rent is $1,904/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48029181824?

12.2% of residents in tract 48029181824 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,561.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48029181824?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 8th, minority 86th, housing 26th.
Q5

Is tract 48029181824 considered part of Bavarian Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48029181824 fall within Bavarian Forest (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48029181824?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 107 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 48029181824 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.29% of renter households, peaking at 5.9% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48029181824 compare to San Antonio overall?

Tract 48029181824 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of San Antonio at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Antonio

Top eight tracts in San Antonio ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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