Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Jones Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48039664501 · Brazoria, TX · pop 5,143 · 25% of tract blocks fall in Jones Creek
With a score of 4.2/10, tract 48039664501 in Jones Creek, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,143 residents. Cost burden runs 10% here against 46.2% across Brazoria County.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,812
Renter share5.8%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$79,359
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
National
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jones Creek and the region
Centroid at 28.9215, -95.4897 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jones Creek scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jones Creek
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,219 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jones Creek
2.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jones Creek
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jones Creek
5.3
How Jones Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jones Creek
The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Average gross rent is $1,219, 12% above the Jones Creek average. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 6% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 7.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Brazoria County average of 3.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $79,359.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48039664501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48039664501?
Census tract 48039664501 in Jones Creek scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48039664501?
Median gross rent is $1,219/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 10% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48039664501?
12.8% of residents in tract 48039664501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,143.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48039664501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 75th, minority 49th, housing 71th.
Q5
How does tract 48039664501 compare to Jones Creek overall?
Tract 48039664501 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Jones Creek at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jones Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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