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Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Bartonville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48121020315 · Denton, TX · pop 4,183 · 41% of tract blocks fall in Bartonville

Tract 48121020315 sits in Bartonville, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. It is home to 4,183 residents. about a quarter of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Denton County average of 45.5%.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 3% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,322
Renter share4.3%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate24.0%
Median income$111,667

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Bartonville
Moderate
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#50 of 193 tracts In Denton
Elevated
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#1,972 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
National
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#41,206 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bartonville and the region

Centroid at 33.0764, -97.1695 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bartonville scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bartonville
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
24.0% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,159 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bartonville
1.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bartonville
2.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bartonville
2.3

How Bartonville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bartonville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 020315Bartonville: 3.13.1Bartonvilleparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 57Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 4.75×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 4 filings (16.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bartonville

Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.2/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.3/10.

The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 0.7 points above the Denton County average of 3.8. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $111,667, annual rent is just 12%.

Average gross rent is $1,159, close to the Bartonville average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48121020315

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020315?

Census tract 48121020315 in Bartonville scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48121020315?

Median gross rent is $1,159/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020315?

24.0% of residents in tract 48121020315 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,183.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020315?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 54th, minority 60th, housing 42th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 48121020315 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 4.75× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 48121020315 compare to Bartonville overall?

Tract 48121020315 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Bartonville at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bartonville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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