Tract 48121021758 ·
Denton, TX · pop 3,857 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
48121021758 is a census tract in the Highland Forest Addition area of Flower Mound, TX. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%Stable renters 21%Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,347
Renter share32.4%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$163,068
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Highland Forest Addition
Very Low
Within parent city
71th percentile
#6 of 18 tracts In Flower Mound
Elevated
Within county
30th percentile
#135 of 193 tracts In Denton
Low
Within state
35th percentile
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Flower Mound and the region
Centroid at 33.0630, -97.0701 · click any tract to drill in
Why Highland Forest Addition scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Flower Mound
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,269 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Flower Mound
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Flower Mound
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Flower Mound
4.1
How Highland Forest Addition compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
2%Socioeconomic
63%Household composition
35%Racial/ethnic minority
17%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
23Total filings 2020-21
0.3Avg monthly (observed)
0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
0.48×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Highland Forest Addition. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Highland Forest Addition
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.1/10. around a third of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Denton County average of 45.5%. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The voucher gap is 20.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
It sits 0.8 points below the Denton County average of 3.8. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 2.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $163,068, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $2,269, close to the Flower Mound average.
32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021758
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021758?
Census tract 48121021758 in the Highland Forest Addition neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021758?
Median gross rent is $2,269/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021758?
3.6% of residents in tract 48121021758 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,857.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021758?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 63th, minority 35th, housing 17th.
Q5
Is tract 48121021758 considered part of Highland Forest Addition?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021758 fall within Highland Forest Addition (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021758 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.48× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48121021758 compare to Flower Mound overall?
Tract 48121021758 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Flower Mound at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flower Mound eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Flower Mound
Top eight tracts in Flower Mound ranked by composite eviction-risk score.