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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally

Elva Eviction Risk: Lower , Red Oak

Tract 48139060207 · Ellis County, TX · pop 8,032 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

For landlords sizing up Elva in Red Oak, census tract 48139060207 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. That is riskier than about 56% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,088 monthly, set against $97,066 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 17% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 9% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,707
Renter share17.3%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate14.6%
Median income$97,066

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Elva
Very Low
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Red Oak
Low
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#14 of 36 tracts In Ellis County
Elevated
Within state
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#5,145 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Red Oak and the region

Centroid at 32.5187, -96.7765 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elva scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Red Oak
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.6% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$2,088 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Red Oak
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Red Oak
4.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Red Oak
6.7

How Elva compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elva risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.72.7This tracttract 060207Red Oak: 2.42.4Red Oakparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elva. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elva

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Red Oak, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Ellis County average of 4.7 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48139060207

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48139060207?

Census tract 48139060207 in the Elva neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48139060207?

Median gross rent is $2,088/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48139060207?

14.6% of residents in tract 48139060207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,032.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48139060207?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 83th, minority 66th, housing 36th.
Q5

Is tract 48139060207 considered part of Elva?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48139060207 fall within Elva (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48139060207 compare to Red Oak overall?

Tract 48139060207 scores 2.7/10, higher than the parent city of Red Oak at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Red Oak; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Red Oak

Top eight tracts in Red Oak ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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