Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Elva Eviction Risk: Moderate , Red Oak
Tract 48139060206 · Ellis County, TX · pop 7,187 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 48139060206 covers part of the Elva area of Red Oak, TX, and scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,187 residents. Severe burden reaches 53%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,380
Renter share29.2%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$73,462
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Red Oak and the region
Centroid at 32.5243, -96.8091 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elva scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Red Oak
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,423 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Red Oak
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Red Oak
4.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Red Oak
6.7
How Elva compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elva. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elva
79% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Ellis County average of 43.5%. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
At $1,423 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of Red Oak commands. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. Against the Ellis County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.
Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.1/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $73,462.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 48139060206
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48139060206?
Census tract 48139060206 in the Elva neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48139060206?
Median gross rent is $1,423/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48139060206?
11.4% of residents in tract 48139060206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,187.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48139060206?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 76th, minority 66th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 48139060206 considered part of Elva?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48139060206 fall within Elva (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48139060206 compare to Red Oak overall?
Tract 48139060206 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Red Oak at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Red Oak; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Red Oak
Top eight tracts in Red Oak ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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