Red Oak Eviction Risk: Lower

The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.3/10.

The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,490, 22% below the Red Oak average. Against the Ellis County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 6% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.6/10.

Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $129,010, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.