Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally
Bardwell Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48139061200 · Ellis County, TX · pop 2,077 · 25% of tract blocks fall in Bardwell
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 48139061200 (Bardwell, Texas) comes in at 3.8/10, the Lower tier. It lands near the 8th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 18% of renter households, a modest level, and 4% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,276 a month while the average household earns $75,729 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units753
Renter share30.3%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$75,729
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
25
th percentile
Low
National
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bardwell and the region
Centroid at 32.2111, -96.7528 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bardwell scores 2.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bardwell
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,276 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bardwell
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bardwell
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bardwell
4.6
How Bardwell compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bardwell
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bardwell, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Ellis County average of 4.7 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 48139061200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48139061200?
Census tract 48139061200 in Bardwell scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48139061200?
Median gross rent is $1,276/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48139061200?
5.9% of residents in tract 48139061200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,077.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48139061200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 88th, minority 64th, housing 42th.
Q5
How does tract 48139061200 compare to Bardwell overall?
Tract 48139061200 scores 2.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Bardwell at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bardwell; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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