Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Bardwell Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48139061200 · Ellis County, TX · pop 2,077 · 25% of tract blocks fall in Bardwell
48139061200 is a census tract in Bardwell, TX. It scores 4.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,077. Cost burden runs 18% here against 43.5% across Ellis County.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units753
Renter share30.3%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$75,729
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
National
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bardwell and the region
Centroid at 32.2111, -96.7528 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bardwell scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bardwell
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,276 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bardwell
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bardwell
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bardwell
4.6
How Bardwell compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bardwell
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.8% against 11.3% nationally.
On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Ellis County average of 4.0 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,276, close to the Bardwell average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $75,729.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 48139061200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48139061200?
Census tract 48139061200 in Bardwell scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48139061200?
Median gross rent is $1,276/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48139061200?
5.9% of residents in tract 48139061200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,077.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48139061200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 88th, minority 64th, housing 42th.
Q5
How does tract 48139061200 compare to Bardwell overall?
Tract 48139061200 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Bardwell at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bardwell; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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