Grand Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.1/10.

Average gross rent is $1,791, 32% above the Houston average. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Disability prevalence runs 19.0% against 31.5% nationally. The voucher gap is 17.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

It sits 0.8 points below the Fort Bend County average of 3.8. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $160,862, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.