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Neighborhood · Houston, TX

Grand Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 9,871 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3–3.4

Grand Lakes takes in 2 census tracts of Houston, TX and houses 9,871 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.3/10, in the Lower tier. Average gross rent is $1,869, 37% above the Houston average of $1,361.

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

The voucher gap is 22.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.2/10.

Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 33% of renter households. On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10. Among the 397 mapped neighborhoods of Houston, it ranks #207 by risk, the middle third.

At 26% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Kings Forest and Addicks. Against average income of $160,843, annual rent is only 14%, a wide affordability cushion.

Its 2 tracts score within 0.4 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Grand Lakes vs Houston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
32.7% +2%
Houston: 32.1%
Average gross rent
$1,869 +37%
Houston: $1,361
Average HH income
$160,843 +156%
Houston: $62,894
Poverty rate
8.7% -56%
Houston: 19.7%
Renter share
26.2% -55%
Houston: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Lakes and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3.4

Why Grand Lakes scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
33% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
26% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
8.7% below poverty line · Range 1.1–2.8 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.7–7.5 across tracts
7.2
Risk score comparison

Grand Lakes vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Grand Lakes score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.3Grand LakesNeighborhood3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Grand Lakes

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48157673009 3.4 6,440 41% $1,911
48157673010 3 3,431 17% $1,791
Frequently asked

About Grand Lakes

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Grand Lakes?

Grand Lakes scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Grand Lakes compare to Houston overall?

Grand Lakes scores 0.4 points lower than Houston overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 33% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,869 vs $1,361.
Q3

What is the average rent in Grand Lakes?

Average gross rent in Grand Lakes is $1,869/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Grand Lakes residents are renters?

26% of Grand Lakes households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 9,871 residents.
Q5

Which tracts in Grand Lakes have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Grand Lakes is census tract 48157673009 (score 3.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.4, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q6

How safe is Grand Lakes for landlords?

Grand Lakes carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Grand Lakes?

Grand Lakes has 10,190 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (50%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (26.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Grand Lakes

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Houston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Grand Lakes.

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