Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Kashmere Gardens Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201211000 · Harris, TX · pop 1,813 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 48201211000 covers part of the Kashmere Gardens area of Houston, TX, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,813. The severe-burden share is 55%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units758
Renter share45.1%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate30.1%
Median income$31,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7971, -95.3321 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kashmere Gardens scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
30.1% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$868 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Kashmere Gardens compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 25%Grade C
- 6%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 234Total filings over 7 yrs
- 8.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.3%Peak (2013)
- 33Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 43% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 548Total filings 2020-21
- 7.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.17×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Kashmere Gardens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kashmere Gardens
Adults with no health insurance runs 32.1% against 11.3% nationally. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Average gross rent is $868, 36% below the Houston average.
Cost burden runs 62% here against 49.5% across Harris County. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $31,667 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Disability prevalence runs 45.8% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 234 filings here across 7 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2013, when 10.3% of renter households were served.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201211000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201211000?
Census tract 48201211000 in the Kashmere Gardens neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201211000?
Median gross rent is $868/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201211000?
30.1% of residents in tract 48201211000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,813.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201211000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 98th, minority 97th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 48201211000 considered part of Kashmere Gardens?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201211000 fall within Kashmere Gardens (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201211000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 234 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201211000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.04% of renter households, peaking at 10.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201211000 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.17× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201211000 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201211000 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 48201211000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 6% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48201221900
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201240802
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Riverside Terrace
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Crestmont
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Keegans Glen
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Spring Branch East
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
North Shadydale
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Mayfair
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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