Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally
Second Ward Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201211502 · Harris, TX · pop 2,909 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
The Second Ward neighborhood of Houston anchors census tract 48201211502, which lands at 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 52% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $888 a month against an average household income of $54,900 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units836
Renter share38.8%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate26.7%
Median income$54,900
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7646, -95.3077 · click any tract to drill in
Why Second Ward scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.7% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$888 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Second Ward compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 66%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 198Total filings 2020-21
- 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.55×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Second Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Second Ward
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 6.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.55x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201211502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201211502?
Census tract 48201211502 in the Second Ward neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201211502?
Median gross rent is $888/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201211502?
26.7% of residents in tract 48201211502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,909.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201211502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 68th, minority 98th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 48201211502 considered part of Second Ward?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201211502 fall within Second Ward (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201211502 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.55× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201211502 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201211502 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 48201211502 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Fondren Gardens
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201221400
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201222702
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Mayfair
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brays Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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