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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Second Ward Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201211502 · Harris, TX · pop 2,909 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

48201211502 is a census tract in the Second Ward area of Houston, TX. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,909 residents. Adults with no health insurance runs 44.2% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 21% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units836
Renter share38.8%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate26.7%
Median income$54,900

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Second Ward
Very High
Within parent city
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#197 of 952 tracts In Houston
High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7646, -95.3077 · click any tract to drill in

Why Second Ward scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.7% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$888 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Second Ward compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Second Ward risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 2115023.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 198Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.55×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Second Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Second Ward

Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

At $888 a month, rents run 35% under what the rest of Houston commands. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Disability prevalence runs 44.4% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 1.1 points above the Harris County average of 4.0.

45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Harris County average of 49.5%. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Houston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201211502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201211502?

Census tract 48201211502 in the Second Ward neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201211502?

Median gross rent is $888/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201211502?

26.7% of residents in tract 48201211502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,909.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201211502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 68th, minority 98th, housing 68th.
Q5

Is tract 48201211502 considered part of Second Ward?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201211502 fall within Second Ward (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201211502 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.55× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201211502 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201211502 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48201211502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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