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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Second Ward Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201310500 · Harris, TX · pop 3,452 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

The Second Ward neighborhood of Houston is where census tract 48201310500 sits, home to 3,452 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is $1/10. On the national scale it ranks #52,750 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

34% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $848 a month against an average household income of $40,360 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 52% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 34% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,473
Renter share52.2%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate25.1%
Median income$40,360

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Second Ward
Very High
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#196 of 952 tracts In Houston
High
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#200 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#768 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7466, -95.3168 · click any tract to drill in

Why Second Ward scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.1% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$848 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Second Ward compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Second Ward risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 310500Houston: 2.82.8Houstonparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 207Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 3.76%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.4%Peak (2014)
  • 41Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 482013105002009: 28 filings (3.56/100 renter HHs)2010: 19 filings (2.18/100 renter HHs)2011: 16 filings (2.06/100 renter HHs)2012: 25 filings (3.22/100 renter HHs)2013: 36 filings (4.63/100 renter HHs)2014: 42 filings (5.41/100 renter HHs)2015: 41 filings (5.28/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 46% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 320Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.35×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2020-02-01: 6 filings (2.40× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-07-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-11-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-08-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2021-10-01: 11 filings (2.75× baseline)2021-11-01: 7 filings (2.33× baseline)2021-12-01: 5 filings (1.43× baseline)2022-01-01: 9 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2022-03-01: 4 filings (0.94× baseline)2022-04-01: 5 filings (1.43× baseline)2022-05-01: 6 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 6 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2022-08-01: 6 filings (2.18× baseline)2022-09-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2022-10-01: 5 filings (1.25× baseline)2022-11-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-01-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2023-02-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 7 filings (1.65× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2023-05-01: 5 filings (3.33× baseline)2023-06-01: 4 filings (0.89× baseline)2023-07-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2023-08-01: 6 filings (2.18× baseline)2023-09-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2023-10-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2023-12-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2024-01-01: 6 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-05-01: 5 filings (3.33× baseline)2024-06-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2024-07-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-08-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2024-09-01: 8 filings (2.91× baseline)2024-10-01: 8 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 10 filings (3.33× baseline)2024-12-01: 7 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 7 filings (3.11× baseline)2025-02-01: 15 filings (6.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2025-04-01: 6 filings (1.71× baseline)2025-05-01: 13 filings (8.67× baseline)2025-06-01: 14 filings (3.11× baseline)2025-07-01: 8 filings (1.60× baseline)2025-08-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2025-11-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2026-01-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Second Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Second Ward

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 6.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 207 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 3.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.4% of renter households in 2014.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201310500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201310500?

Census tract 48201310500 in the Second Ward neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201310500?

Median gross rent is $848/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201310500?

25.1% of residents in tract 48201310500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,452.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201310500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 98th, minority 94th, housing 78th.
Q5

Is tract 48201310500 considered part of Second Ward?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201310500 fall within Second Ward (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201310500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 207 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201310500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.76% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201310500 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.35× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201310500 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201310500 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 48201310500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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