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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Second Ward Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201310400 · Harris, TX · pop 3,394 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 48201310400 sits in the Second Ward area of Houston eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. Against Harris County at 49.5%, 30% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 37% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,447
Renter share53.0%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate18.4%
Median income$54,230

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Second Ward
Very Low
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#358 of 952 tracts In Houston
Elevated
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#399 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Elevated
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#1,569 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7515, -95.3287 · click any tract to drill in

Why Second Ward scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.4% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,140 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Second Ward compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Second Ward risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 3104003.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 175Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 2.92%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak (2013)
  • 23Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48201310400
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 191Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.08×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Second Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Second Ward

Adults with no health insurance runs 34.2% against 11.3% nationally. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

At $1,140 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Houston commands. Court records carry 175 eviction filings across 7 observed years.

Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2013, when 4.7% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 55th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201310400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201310400?

Census tract 48201310400 in the Second Ward neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201310400?

Median gross rent is $1,140/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201310400?

18.4% of residents in tract 48201310400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,394.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201310400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 86th, minority 89th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 48201310400 considered part of Second Ward?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201310400 fall within Second Ward (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201310400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 175 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201310400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.92% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201310400 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.08× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201310400 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201310400 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 48201310400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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