Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally
Oates Prairie Eviction Risk: Elevated , Houston
Tract 48201232500 · Harris, TX · pop 4,210 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 48201232500 runs through the Oates Prairie neighborhood of Houston. With 4,210 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #22,193 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 71% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,147 monthly, set against $41,813 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 40% of occupied homes.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units996
Renter share40.5%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate41.0%
Median income$41,813
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.8060, -95.2503 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oates Prairie scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
41.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,147 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Oates Prairie compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 320Total filings over 7 yrs
- 18.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.4%Peak (2013)
- 35Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 178Total filings 2020-21
- 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.60×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oates Prairie
What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 320 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 18.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 20.4% of renter households in 2013.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201232500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201232500?
Census tract 48201232500 in the Oates Prairie neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201232500?
Median gross rent is $1,147/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201232500?
41.0% of residents in tract 48201232500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,210.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201232500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 95th, minority 89th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 48201232500 considered part of Oates Prairie?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201232500 fall within Oates Prairie (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201232500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 320 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201232500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.48% of renter households, peaking at 20.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201232500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.60× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201232500 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201232500 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Canfield Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Fondren Gardens
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201221400
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Mayfair
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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