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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Oates Prairie Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201232500 · Harris, TX · pop 4,210 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 5.1/10, tract 48201232500 in the Oates Prairie area of Houston, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 71% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Harris County average of 49.5%.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 12% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units996
Renter share40.5%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate41.0%
Median income$41,813

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Oates Prairie
Moderate
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#179 of 952 tracts In Houston
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#90 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.8060, -95.2503 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oates Prairie scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
41.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,147 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Oates Prairie compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oates Prairie risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 2325003.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 320Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 18.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.4%Peak (2013)
  • 35Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48201232500
Filings dropped 20% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 178Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.60×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oates Prairie

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 38.2% against 11.3% nationally. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

The poverty rate is 41%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $41,813 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Disability prevalence runs 46.7% against 31.5% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Harris County average of 4.0. Average gross rent is $1,147, 16% below the Houston average.

The filing record is not thin: 320 evictions over 7 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2013, when 20.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 18.5% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.9/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201232500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201232500?

Census tract 48201232500 in the Oates Prairie neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201232500?

Median gross rent is $1,147/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201232500?

41.0% of residents in tract 48201232500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,210.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201232500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 95th, minority 89th, housing 95th.
Q5

Is tract 48201232500 considered part of Oates Prairie?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201232500 fall within Oates Prairie (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201232500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 320 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201232500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.48% of renter households, peaking at 20.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201232500 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.60× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201232500 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201232500 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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