1 census tracts · pop 4,210 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10
· range 5.1–5.1
Oates Prairie is a one-tract quarter of Houston, TX and houses 4,210 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.1/10, in the Moderate tier. 71% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Houston rate of 32.1%.
The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 41%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 31% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Set annual rent against average household income of $41,813 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Court records for this tract carry 320 eviction filings.
Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10. At $1,147 a month, rents sit 16% under what the rest of Houston commands.
The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 20.4% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 12.8% in 2015 against a 20.4% peak.
That places it #1 of 397 neighborhoods in Houston. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
One tract means one number: 5.1/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Oates Prairie vs HoustonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority89%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport95%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Oates Prairie
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
320Total filings (sum)
18.48%Avg annual filing rate
20.4%Peak year (2013)
12.77%Latest filed (2015)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
178Total filings 2020-21
2.3Avg monthly observed
3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
0.60×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).
Frequently asked
About Oates Prairie
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Oates Prairie?
Oates Prairie scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Oates Prairie compare to Houston overall?
Oates Prairie scores 1.4 points higher than Houston overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 71% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,147 vs $1,361.
Q3
What is the average rent in Oates Prairie?
Average gross rent in Oates Prairie is $1,147/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Oates Prairie residents are renters?
41% of Oates Prairie households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 4,210 residents.
Q5
Is Oates Prairie a high social-vulnerability area?
Oates Prairie sits in the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Oates Prairie for landlords?
Oates Prairie carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Oates Prairie?
Oates Prairie has 4,450 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (61.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (23%), White (non-Hispanic) (14%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
