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Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

East Downtown Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201310101 · Harris, TX · pop 2,764 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 48201310101 covers part of the East Downtown area of Houston, TX, and scores 3.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 37% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,550
Renter share58.3%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$93,898

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In East Downtown
Very Low
Within parent city
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#568 of 952 tracts In Houston
Moderate
Within county
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#638 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Moderate
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#3,765 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7525, -95.3436 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Downtown scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,663 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How East Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.4This tracttract 3101013.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 370Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.77×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Downtown

37% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Harris County average of 49.5%. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. At $1,663 a month, rents run 22% over what the rest of Houston commands.

Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $93,898. 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201310101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201310101?

Census tract 48201310101 in the East Downtown neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201310101?

Median gross rent is $1,663/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201310101?

15.5% of residents in tract 48201310101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,764.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201310101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 5th, minority 70th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 48201310101 considered part of East Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201310101 fall within East Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201310101 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.77× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201310101 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201310101 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48201310101 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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