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Neighborhood · Houston, TX

East Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 5,266 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 3.4–5

East Downtown takes in 2 census tracts of Houston, TX and houses 5,266 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.2/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.4 to 5, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. At $1,649 a month, rents sit 21% over what the rest of Houston commands. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

The severe-burden share is 15%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10. Against a Houston baseline of 32.1%, 37% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Among the 397 mapped neighborhoods of Houston, it ranks #121 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Gulf Palms and Royal Oaks Country Club. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $90,264.

63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
East Downtown vs Houston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
37.4% +17%
Houston: 32.1%
Average gross rent
$1,649 +21%
Houston: $1,361
Average HH income
$90,264 +44%
Houston: $62,894
Poverty rate
22.6% +15%
Houston: 19.7%
Renter share
62.9% +9%
Houston: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across East Downtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.4–5

Why East Downtown scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
37% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
63% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
22.6% below poverty line · Range 3.9–7.6 across tracts
5.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.7–5.9 across tracts
5.8
Risk score comparison

East Downtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

East Downtown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.2East DowntownNeighborhood3.7Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in East Downtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48201310102 5 2,502 38% $1,633
48201310101 3.4 2,764 37% $1,663
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 53

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 58%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 9%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 73%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in East Downtown

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 689Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.5Avg monthly observed
  • 5.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.64×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About East Downtown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for East Downtown?

East Downtown scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does East Downtown compare to Houston overall?

East Downtown scores 0.5 points higher than Houston overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,649 vs $1,361.
Q3

What is the average rent in East Downtown?

Average gross rent in East Downtown is $1,649/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of East Downtown residents are renters?

63% of East Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 5,266 residents.
Q5

Is East Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?

East Downtown sits in the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in East Downtown have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in East Downtown is census tract 48201310102 (score 5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 5, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7

How safe is East Downtown for landlords?

East Downtown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of East Downtown?

East Downtown has 5,198 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (34%), Hispanic / Latino (31.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (23.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near East Downtown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Houston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to East Downtown.

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