Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
University Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201312200 · Harris, TX · pop 1,512 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
48201312200 is a census tract in the University Village area of Houston, TX. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,512. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units631
Renter share71.8%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate42.1%
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
78
th percentile
High
Within county
90
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7321, -95.3498 · click any tract to drill in
Why University Village scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
42.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$990 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How University Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 99%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 678Total filings over 7 yrs
- 14.26%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.2%Peak (2014)
- 99Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 976Total filings 2020-21
- 12.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.67×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within University Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in University Village
The poverty rate is 42%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Average gross rent is $990, 27% below the Houston average. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
Adults with no health insurance runs 21.1% against 11.3% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 678 evictions over 7 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 16.2% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 14.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201312200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201312200?
Census tract 48201312200 in the University Village neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201312200?
Median gross rent is $990/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201312200?
42.1% of residents in tract 48201312200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,512.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201312200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 61th, minority 94th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 48201312200 considered part of University Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201312200 fall within University Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201312200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 678 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201312200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.26% of renter households, peaking at 16.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201312200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201312200 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201312200 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 48201312200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 99% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Washington Terrace
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Almeda
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Westwood South
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Westwood South
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201222900
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
University Oaks
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Mayfair
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Mahatma Gandhi District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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