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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Windfern Trace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201551601 · Harris, TX · pop 3,246 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

48201551601 is a census tract in the Windfern Trace area of Houston, TX. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,246. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 16% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units975
Renter share38.4%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate33.5%
Median income$66,809

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Windfern Trace
Moderate
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#36 of 952 tracts In Houston
Very High
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#326 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Elevated
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.9299, -95.5566 · click any tract to drill in

Why Windfern Trace scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
33.5% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$1,870 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Windfern Trace compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Windfern Trace risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 5516013.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 71Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.91×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Windfern Trace

At $1,870 a month, rents run 37% over what the rest of Houston commands. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $66,809, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Against Harris County at 49.5%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. The voucher gap is 22.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Adults with no health insurance runs 22.5% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201551601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201551601?

Census tract 48201551601 in the Windfern Trace neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201551601?

Median gross rent is $1,870/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201551601?

33.5% of residents in tract 48201551601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,246.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201551601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 84th, minority 86th, housing 3th.
Q5

Is tract 48201551601 considered part of Windfern Trace?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201551601 fall within Windfern Trace (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201551601 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.91× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201551601 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201551601 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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