Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally
Timbercrest Eviction Risk: Elevated , Houston
Tract 48201312902 · Harris, TX · pop 2,250 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 5.8/10, tract 48201312902 in the Timbercrest neighborhood of Houston ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,250 residents. It lands near the 67th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 83% of renter households, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,378 a month against an average household income of $36,830 a year, roughly 45% of income at the averages. Renters make up 32% of occupied homes.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,275
Renter share31.7%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate31.8%
Median income$36,830
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7147, -95.3646 · click any tract to drill in
Why Timbercrest scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
31.8% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$1,378 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Timbercrest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 55%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 359Total filings 2020-21
- 4.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.29×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Timbercrest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Timbercrest
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 7.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.29x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201312902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201312902?
Census tract 48201312902 in the Timbercrest neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201312902?
Median gross rent is $1,378/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201312902?
31.8% of residents in tract 48201312902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,250.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201312902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 5th, minority 92th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 48201312902 considered part of Timbercrest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201312902 fall within Timbercrest (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201312902 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.29× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201312902 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201312902 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 48201312902 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48201221400
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201222702
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Mayfair
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brays Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Foster Place
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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