Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
Manchester Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201324200 · Harris, TX · pop 782 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 48201324200 covers the Manchester area of Houston in Texas. Home to 782 residents, it scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 25% of US census tracts.
About 31% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $965 a month while the average household earns $42,895 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units326
Renter share47.2%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate13.7%
Median income$42,895
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7153, -95.2429 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manchester scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.7% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$965 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Manchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 12%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 17Total filings over 7 yrs
- 1.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.5%Peak (2015)
- 6Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 43Total filings 2020-21
- 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.21×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manchester
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 3.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Harris County average of 5.2 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 17 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 1.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.5% of renter households in 2015.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.21x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201324200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201324200?
Census tract 48201324200 in the Manchester neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201324200?
Median gross rent is $965/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201324200?
13.7% of residents in tract 48201324200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 782.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201324200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 92th, minority 94th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 48201324200 considered part of Manchester?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201324200 fall within Manchester (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201324200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 17 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201324200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.38% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201324200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.21× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201324200 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201324200 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 48201324200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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