Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Second Ward Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201310500 · Harris, TX · pop 3,452 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 48201310500 sits in the Second Ward area of Houston eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 36.1% against 11.3% nationally.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,473
Renter share52.2%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate25.1%
Median income$40,360
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7466, -95.3168 · click any tract to drill in
Why Second Ward scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.1% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$848 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Second Ward compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 28%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 207Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.76%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.4%Peak (2014)
- 41Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 46% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 320Total filings 2020-21
- 4.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.35×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Second Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Second Ward
34% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Harris County average of 49.5%. Average gross rent is $848, 38% below the Houston average.
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.1 points above the Harris County average of 4.0. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 207 filings here across 7 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 5.4% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.8% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201310500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201310500?
Census tract 48201310500 in the Second Ward neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201310500?
Median gross rent is $848/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201310500?
25.1% of residents in tract 48201310500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,452.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201310500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 98th, minority 94th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 48201310500 considered part of Second Ward?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201310500 fall within Second Ward (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201310500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 207 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201310500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.76% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201310500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.35× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201310500 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201310500 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 48201310500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Huntington Village
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Spring Branch
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Fallbrook
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Fifth Ward
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Westbury
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Memorial Hollow
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Lindale Park
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Magnolia Park
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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