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Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Avondale East Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201410101 · Harris, TX · pop 1,963 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 48201410101 sits in the Avondale East area of Houston eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.1/10. It is home to 1,963 residents. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 37% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,051
Renter share61.4%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate18.9%
Median income$75,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Avondale East
Very High
Within parent city
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#448 of 952 tracts In Houston
Moderate
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#501 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Elevated
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#2,577 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7549, -95.3822 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avondale East scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.9% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,861 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Avondale East compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Avondale East risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.1This tracttract 4101013.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 401Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.94×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Avondale East. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Avondale East

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. At $1,861 a month, rents run 37% over what the rest of Houston commands. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Cost burden runs 39% here against 49.5% across Harris County. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

The voucher gap is 21.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 2.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Harris County average of 4.0 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201410101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201410101?

Census tract 48201410101 in the Avondale East neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201410101?

Median gross rent is $1,861/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201410101?

18.9% of residents in tract 48201410101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,963.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201410101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 4th, minority 70th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 48201410101 considered part of Avondale East?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201410101 fall within Avondale East (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201410101 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.94× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201410101 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201410101 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48201410101 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 89% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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