Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Avondale East Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201410601 · Harris, TX · pop 3,928 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 48201410601 belongs to the Avondale East neighborhood of Houston, Texas. It is home to 3,928 residents and scores 5.1/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 41% of US census tracts.
38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,856 a month against an average household income of $96,138 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 100% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 62%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units2,693
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate14.9%
Median income$96,138
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7445, -95.3778 · click any tract to drill in
Why Avondale East scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.9% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,856 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Avondale East compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 0%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 29%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,041Total filings 2020-21
- 13.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 19.83×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Avondale East. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Avondale East
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 19.83x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201410601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201410601?
Census tract 48201410601 in the Avondale East neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201410601?
Median gross rent is $1,856/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201410601?
14.9% of residents in tract 48201410601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,928.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201410601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 0th, minority 68th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 48201410601 considered part of Avondale East?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201410601 fall within Avondale East (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201410601 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 19.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201410601 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201410601 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 48201410601 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201222702
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Mayfair
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brays Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Foster Place
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Crestmont
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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