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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Avondale Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201410502 · Harris, TX · pop 3,067 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

48201410502 is a census tract in the Avondale area of Houston, TX. It scores 3/10 for landlords. about one in five of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Harris County average of 49.5%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 36% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,664
Renter share44.3%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$142,597

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Avondale
Very Low
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#656 of 952 tracts In Houston
Low
Within county
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#838 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7491, -95.3851 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avondale scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,432 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Avondale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Avondale risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 4105023.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 122Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.18×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Avondale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Avondale

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.4/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Disability prevalence runs 17.3% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $142,597, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201410502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201410502?

Census tract 48201410502 in the Avondale neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201410502?

Median gross rent is $1,432/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201410502?

5.6% of residents in tract 48201410502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,067.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201410502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 1th, minority 47th, housing 46th.
Q5

Is tract 48201410502 considered part of Avondale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201410502 fall within Avondale (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201410502 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.18× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201410502 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201410502 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48201410502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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