Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Afton Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201411600 · Harris, TX · pop 2,758 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 48201411600 in the Afton Oaks area of Houston, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,758. about one in five of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Harris County average of 49.5%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,515
Renter share38.4%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$124,281
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7355, -95.4537 · click any tract to drill in
Why Afton Oaks scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,654 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Afton Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 54Total filings over 7 yrs
- 4.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.9%Peak (2012)
- 5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 206Total filings 2020-21
- 2.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 4.90×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Afton Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Afton Oaks
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,654, 22% above the Houston average.
Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. Court records carry 54 eviction filings across 7 observed years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 6.9% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $124,281, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201411600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201411600?
Census tract 48201411600 in the Afton Oaks neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201411600?
Median gross rent is $1,654/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201411600?
3.8% of residents in tract 48201411600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,758.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201411600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 5th, minority 39th, housing 7th.
Q5
Is tract 48201411600 considered part of Afton Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201411600 fall within Afton Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201411600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 54 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201411600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.52% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201411600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 4.90× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201411600 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201411600 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Fifth Ward
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Houmont Park
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Mahatma Gandhi District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Independence Heights
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Southbrook
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Hawthorne Place
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Greenspoint
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Chinatown
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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