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Neighborhood · Houston, TX

Afton Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 4,769 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.9/10 · range 2.8–3

Afton Oaks is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Houston with 2 census tracts and a population of 4,769 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.9/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 26% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 8% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,938/month sits 42% higher than the Houston citywide average ($1,361).

Risk score
2.9
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Afton Oaks vs Houston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
25.7% -20%
Houston: 32.1%
Average gross rent
$1,938 +42%
Houston: $1,361
Average HH income
$128,150 +104%
Houston: $62,894
Poverty rate
5.1% -74%
Houston: 19.7%
Renter share
58.3% +1%
Houston: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Afton Oaks and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2.8–3

Why Afton Oaks scores 2.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
26% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
58% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
5.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.7 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.8–10.0 across tracts
7.6
Risk score comparison

Afton Oaks vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Afton Oaks score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Afton Oaks: 2.92.9Afton OaksNeighborhoodParent city: 2.82.8Parent cityhost cityState: 2.62.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Afton Oaks

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48201431804 3 2,011 32% $2,328
48201411600 2.8 2,758 21% $1,654
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 18

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 17%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 5%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 48%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 37%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Afton Oaks

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 54Total filings (sum)
  • 4.52%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.9%Peak year (2012)
  • 3.45%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 522Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.3Avg monthly observed
  • 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 3.65×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About Afton Oaks

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Afton Oaks?

Afton Oaks scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Afton Oaks compare to Houston overall?

Afton Oaks scores 0.1 points higher than Houston overall (2.8/10). Renters spend 26% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,938 vs $1,361.
Q3

What is the average rent in Afton Oaks?

Average gross rent in Afton Oaks is $1,938/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Afton Oaks residents are renters?

58% of Afton Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 4,769 residents.
Q5

Is Afton Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?

Afton Oaks sits in the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Afton Oaks have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Afton Oaks is census tract 48201431804 (score 3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.8 to 3, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Afton Oaks for landlords?

Afton Oaks carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (2.8/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Afton Oaks?

Afton Oaks has 5,106 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (63.9%), Hispanic / Latino (17.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Afton Oaks

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Houston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Afton Oaks.

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