2 census tracts · pop 4,769 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10
· range 3–3
Afton Oaks takes in 2 census tracts of Houston, TX, population 4,769. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, Lower tier. At $1,938 a month, rents sit 42% over what the rest of Houston commands.
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.3/10.
The voucher gap is 26.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Cost burden runs 26% against 32.1% citywide, putting Afton Oaks 6.4% under its own city. Sitting well above the midpoint is supply constraint at 7.6/10.
Court records for this tract carry 54 eviction filings. 8% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The worst year on record was 2012, when filings touched 6.9% of renter households.
The most recent observed rate, 3.5% in 2015, is well off that peak. Among the 397 mapped neighborhoods of Houston, it ranks #241 by risk, the middle third.
For a like-for-like read, Wingspan at Bridgeland and Longwood Village score within a fraction of it.
With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Afton Oaks vs HoustonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority48%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport37%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Afton Oaks
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
54Total filings (sum)
4.52%Avg annual filing rate
6.9%Peak year (2012)
3.45%Latest filed (2015)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
522Total filings 2020-21
3.3Avg monthly observed
1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
3.65×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).
Frequently asked
About Afton Oaks
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Afton Oaks?
Afton Oaks scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Afton Oaks compare to Houston overall?
Afton Oaks scores 0.7 points lower than Houston overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 26% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,938 vs $1,361.
Q3
What is the average rent in Afton Oaks?
Average gross rent in Afton Oaks is $1,938/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Afton Oaks residents are renters?
58% of Afton Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 4,769 residents.
Q5
Is Afton Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?
Afton Oaks sits in the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Afton Oaks have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Afton Oaks is census tract 48201411600 (score 3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Afton Oaks for landlords?
Afton Oaks carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Afton Oaks?
Afton Oaks has 5,106 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (63.9%), Hispanic / Latino (17.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
