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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Afton Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201431804 · Harris, TX · pop 2,011 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

48201431804 is a census tract in the Afton Oaks area of Houston, TX. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,011. Against Harris County at 49.5%, around a third of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 58% Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units1,347
Renter share85.6%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$133,456

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Afton Oaks
Very Low
Within parent city
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#668 of 952 tracts In Houston
Low
Within county
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#909 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7480, -95.4591 · click any tract to drill in

Why Afton Oaks scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,328 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Afton Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Afton Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 4318043.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 316Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.93×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Afton Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Afton Oaks

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $2,328, 71% above the Houston average. The voucher gap is 52.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. Severe burden reaches 10%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 4.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $133,456.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201431804

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201431804?

Census tract 48201431804 in the Afton Oaks neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201431804?

Median gross rent is $2,328/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201431804?

6.9% of residents in tract 48201431804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,011.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201431804?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 6th, minority 59th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 48201431804 considered part of Afton Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201431804 fall within Afton Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201431804 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.93× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201431804 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201431804 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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