Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally
Afton Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201431804 · Harris, TX · pop 2,011 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 48201431804 belongs to the Afton Oaks neighborhood of Houston, Texas. It is home to 2,011 residents and scores 4.8/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 31% of US census tracts.
32% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,328 monthly, set against $133,456 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 86% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 58%
Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units1,347
Renter share85.6%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$133,456
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7480, -95.4591 · click any tract to drill in
Why Afton Oaks scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,328 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Afton Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 316Total filings 2020-21
- 4.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.93×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Afton Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Afton Oaks
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.93x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201431804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201431804?
Census tract 48201431804 in the Afton Oaks neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201431804?
Median gross rent is $2,328/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201431804?
6.9% of residents in tract 48201431804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,011.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201431804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 6th, minority 59th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 48201431804 considered part of Afton Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201431804 fall within Afton Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201431804 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.93× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201431804 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201431804 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Fondren Gardens
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201221400
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201222702
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Mayfair
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brays Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Related