Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Southgate Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201412201 · Harris, TX · pop 2,247 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 48201412201 in the Southgate area of Houston, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,247. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 34% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,113
Renter share61.4%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$155,855

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Southgate
Low
Within parent city
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#861 of 952 tracts In Houston
Very Low
Within county
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#862 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7093, -95.4083 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southgate scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,830 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Southgate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southgate risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 4122013.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 105Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 8.75×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southgate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southgate

At $1,830 a month, rents run 34% over what the rest of Houston commands. Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

The voucher gap is 19.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. 44% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Harris County average of 49.5%.

It sits 1.0 points below the Harris County average of 4.0. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.3/10.

Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $155,855, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201412201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201412201?

Census tract 48201412201 in the Southgate neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201412201?

Median gross rent is $1,830/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201412201?

15.6% of residents in tract 48201412201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,247.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201412201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 5th, minority 61th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 48201412201 considered part of Southgate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201412201 fall within Southgate (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201412201 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 8.75× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201412201 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201412201 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related